>Three games in the nPower Championship tomorrow, two are worth a look but neither of them are as clear cut as they might appear. Home wins in bold, banker is in caps…but make sure you read the Forest preview!
NOTTINGHAM FOREST v Bristol City
Forest’s home winning streak in the league is now ridiculous (32 regular season home games without defeat stretching back to September 2009) and although City haven’t won at the City Ground since November 1955, they’ve beaten Swansea and drawn with QPR away from home this season.
I’m not going to go as far as predicting an upset, but City could nick a point and Forest’s win price is far too short. Home team not to keep a clean sheet might also be worth a nibble, but it might be profitable to start opposing Forest at home over the next few weeks – they can’t go undefeated forever.
Recommendation: oppose City, but don’t go overboard on a Forest win.
Doncaster Rovers v Barnsley
Doncaster are one of the most improved teams in the Championship this season which could be a problem for Barnsley, who are lucky that their home form is shoring them up at the moment – away from Oakwell they’re playing like a team that should be in the bottom six. Having said that…Barnsley have won their last two league visits to the Keepmoat Stadium and Donny have only won half of the last ten league games between them with home advantage. Looking at this game purely from the point of view of Yorkshire derbies in the Championship so far, home teams have won four of the six games so far – the others were drawn.
Recommendation: oppose Barnsley as they’ve only got about 20% chance of winning this. Don’t rule out a draw though.
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